Trading Comments, 9 January 2012 (posted 08h15 CET):


Trading and investing can be highly risky. Please read the Disclaimer.

Both precious metals had a good week, but silver did not do as well as I expected.  So we are seeing some re-testing of support in both metals.  We need to assume that support will again hold, and as a consequence, gold and silver will end the week higher.

Gold
1) Long one position from $1,586.00 bought on January 3, 2012.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot gold subsequently trades at $1587.50. (9 January 2011)

2) Long one position from $1,602.00 bought on January 3, 2012.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot gold subsequently trades at $1596.00. (9 January 2011)

3) Long one position from $1,616.00 bought on January 5, 2012.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot gold subsequently trades at $1602.00. (9 January 2011)

4) Buy one position on the first Comex close in New York above $1618.00.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot gold trades at more than $25.00 below your purchase price. (9 January 2011)

5) Buy one position on the first Comex close in New York above $1632.00.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot gold trades at more than $25.00 below your purchase price. (9 January 2011)

Silver
1) The position bought at $29.38 on January 6, 2012 was sold later the same day at $29.22, which was its stop-out point.  Loss: 16¢

2) The position bought at $29.10 on January 6, 2012 was sold later the same day at $28.88, which was its stop-out point.  Loss: 22¢

3) Buy one position at the market.  Silver is presently $28.80 as I write, so I will use this price for recordkeeping.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot silver trades at $28.48. (updated 9 January 2012)

4) Buy one position if the Comex spot price trades at $28.60.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot silver subsequently trades at $28.375. (updated 9 January 2012)

5) Buy one position if the Comex spot price trades at $29.10.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot silver subsequently trades at $28.92. (updated 9 January 2012)

6) Buy one position on the first Comex close in New York above $28.90.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot silver trades at more than 55¢ below your purchase price. (updated 9 January 2012)

6) Buy one position on the first Comex close in New York above $29.24.  Stop-out point: sell at an intraday stop-out point if Comex spot silver trades at more than 55¢ below your purchase price. (updated 9 January 2012)

Gold/Silver Ratio – Traders are short ratio (long silver and short an equal dollar value of gold) from 54.2 on January 3, 2012.  Stop-out point: Unwind this trade on the first New York Comex close above 56.4 (Friday’s close was “at” but not “above” this level). (updated 9 January 2012)

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