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At the beginning of the year, I wrote: “The financial system has become so abnormal, the Fed has to keep inflating to prevent the system from literally going off the rails. But the irony is that eventually the financial system dies as a consequence of accumulated inflation.” I then went on to identify three thingsRead more

The precious metals have been in a 2-year trading range. Though gold rose 10.2% in 2011 and 7.0% in 2012, these rates are below the 16.8% average annual appreciation gold has achieved over the past twelve years. Importantly, by being in a trading range, it is clear that the precious metals have refused to breakRead more

Everyone should be taking note that the yield on the 10-year Treasury note this week climbed to a 9-month high. The T-note is sending a loud and clear message: interest rates are headed higher.

January 2, 2010 – It is time to record my outlook for 2010, but before looking forward to the year ahead, I always like to first look back at what I was expecting for this past year.  My forecasts for 2009 were driven by my overall outlook for the economy, which is captured by theRead more

While the debate continues whether inflation or deflation will be the dollar’s eventual fate, the Federal Reserve is pursuing a pernicious policy that is insidiously debasing the dollar. This policy has generally been met with indifference, if it has even been noticed at all.

Occasionally the stock market gives important clues about its future direction. One way a clue can appear is through a divergence

Do you still doubt that the US is on the road to hyperinflation? Then consider this news item, released late Friday afternoon on a 3-day weekend in the hope that few will notice. “Reuters – U.S. budget gap soars in first half of fiscal 2009 – The United States posted a record $956.8 billion budgetRead more