Thinking the UnthinkableCopyright © 1994, 1999 by Freemarket Gold & Money Report. All Rights Reserved.
First published on April 25, 1994 in FGMR Letter #143
Over the past few years I have become acquainted with a wealthy, retired
American industrialist who has an interesting story to tell. To preserve
his privacy, I will call him André, which is not his real name.
André was born in New York before the First World War to wealthy Jewish
parents who had only recently emigrated to the United States. He was
educated in both the United States and Europe, speaks several languages
fluently, and is as comfortable in any European capital as he is in any
American city. He has three homes in the United States, and two or three
more in Europe.
André is a 'man of the world' in the positive sense in which that phrase
can be used. That is, this phrase reflects his vast knowledge and keen
perception of world affairs, and over the years, I have come to deeply
respect his wisdom.
André is also well connected. His library is full of photographs taken of
him meeting world leaders. Seeing this gallery is like viewing a who's who
in government and business. One immediately understands from these photo's
that here is a man who was close to world events for decades.
Interestingly, the photo's stop in the mid-1960's, but it is here that his
story begins. André sold all of his business interests and retired around
age 55. As he explains it, he felt that he could no longer devote
sufficient time to manage his diverse businesses. The changes being
inflicted on the United States by President Lyndon Johnson meant that André
would now need to spend all of his time managing the wealth he had been able
to accumulate. In his view, the economic and monetary order by 1965 was
changing, and he would have to change as well.
The transition was made within a few years. He sold his business interests
and most of his stock portfolio. By the late-1960's, real estate in Europe
and the United States and investments in Gold mining companies became the
two pillars of his investment portfolio. In the mid-1970's, he also started
buying Gold bullion. It was during this period that André had the occasion
to meet Edward Durrell, one of those legendary figures in the 'sound money
movement' protesting, even rebelling, against American government policies
that were destroying the purchasing power of the Dollar.
Ed Durrell believed that the Federal government was not being honest with
the American people. He believed that substantially all of the Gold held by
the US Treasury had been dishoarded, and he began to make his views widely
known in the 1970's. He contended that the US Gold Reserve (which is
presently reported to be 262 million ounces) was vastly overstated, and that
this deception was being perpetrated on the American people by successive US
administrations either ignorant of the truth or afraid to tell the truth.
Ed Durrell's evidence was largely circumstantial, but nevertheless part of
it was also somewhat compelling. For example, he noted that the Gold
disposed by the US government by auction in the late 1970's was 'coin melt'
quality, i.e., the Gold that had been confiscated in the 1933 seizure by FDR
and 'melted' into bars less than 99.9% pure. Ed Durrell believed this lower
grade Gold was sold because the pure bars were missing.
There were other examples. Ed Durrell noted how the Financial Times of
London had unceremoniously and inexplicably fired its long-standing business
and economics reporter, W. Gordon Tether, once he reported in that paper the
allegations that the US Gold Reserve had been surreptitiously dishoarded.
Ed Durrell's point was that a cabal in the US government did not want the
truth to emerge about the missing Gold, for obvious reasons. Most
persuasive, however, was his argument about auditing.
The US government had not undertaken a proper audit of the Gold since
President Eisenhower was in the White House in the 1950's. Ed Durrell's
argument was simple. If the Gold was truly there, then commission an
external firm to properly audit the Gold to prove that it exists. His
argument sounds logical and simple enough, but curiously, the US government
always refused. Moreover, the excuses given were not credible.
The excuse most often used by the US government was that an audit was too
expensive, which is really no excuse at all. First of all, even if the
audit had cost several million dollars, this amount is insignificant
compared to all the money spent each day by the government (much of which we
all know from reports of the Grace Commission is routinely wasted).
Further, isn't a few million dollars a reasonable amount of money to spend
to ensure that the US government's most important monetary asset is secure
and intact? Besides, wasn't it worth spending a few million dollars to
complete the audit just to rebuke Ed Durrell and to prove him wrong so that
he would no longer be a thorn in their side?
When viewed in this way, the candor of the US government makes one wonder.
Was the US Government being obstinate, or did it really have something to hide?
André thinks the US government did, and still has, plenty to hide. He
thinks that Ed Durrell was right and that most of the Gold is missing. Here
is how André tells it.
In his view, Lyndon Johnson was absolutely the worst President that this
country ever had the misfortune to elect. André believes that Johnson was a
man with no scruples or conscience, and little sense of right or wrong.
This disparaging view is similar to that portrayed in some of Johnson's less
known biographies. To Johnson, power was the only truth. But as André
explains, not only was Johnson despotic, he was stupid.
Although he can't prove it (and nobody can until a proper audit of the US
Gold Reserve is once again completed), André believes that Johnson was the
victim of his own megalomania and the dupe of some conniving people who were
advising him at the time. To understand his argument, you have to
appreciate and understand the circumstances prevailing in late 1967 and
early 1968.
The Vietnam War had rapidly escalated, and the protests had already begun.
Johnson's credibility was being questioned not only on foreign policy, but
domestically as well. The US government's commitment to maintain the Gold
Standard then in
effect was suspect, and the Gold reserve had declined from 442 million
ounces in December 1964 to 370 million ounces by November 1967 in
response to the growing demand for redemptions at the $35 rate of
exchange then in place. In short, the environment by the end of 1967 was
fractious, and Johnson's grip on power was dwindling. Because power was his
life, Johnson was forced to act.
Understanding these circumstances as well as Johnson's weaknesses, one or
more people with access to Johnson's ear (if André knows who they are, he
hasn't told me) presented Johnson with a scheme. They told him how he could
'defend' the Dollar as the grand deed to bolster his flagging popularity and
win back the support of the American people.
All he needed to do was 'flood' the London market with Gold, thereby more
than satisfying the growing demand for redemptions of the Dollar. They led
Johnson to believe that once everyone realized how much Gold was available,
the demand for Dollar redemptions would decline, and everyone would be
satisfied holding Dollars again instead of Gold.
According to André, Johnson then concocted a secret plot. The entire US
Gold Reserve, then over 400 million ounces (excluding the 15-20 million
ounces of 'coin melt' Gold which could be determined to be Gold from US
reserves), would be shipped to the Federal Reserve in New York and the Bank
of England in London to be 'dumped' on the market to teach a lesson to the
speculators. Not only would there be more than enough Gold to meet the
growing demand for Dollar redemptions, the Gold price would drop. The
Federal Reserve and the Bank of England would not immediately sell Dollars
and buy Gold, thereby 'allowing' the Gold price to fall momentarily below
$35. Once the speculators were 'crushed' in this way, the Federal Reserve
and the Bank of England would step back in to buy the Gold under $35 per
ounce and then surreptitiously return it to the US Treasury with no one
being any the wiser. Only it didn't work out that way.
Over a period of several weeks in early 1968, the Gold was secretly
transferred and 'dumped' on the market, but to President Johnson's shock and
horror, the market absorbed it all. He had been duped. The people who
concocted this plan knew that their group had more than $14 billion of
resources (400 million ounces times $35 per ounce). They therefore
willingly exchanged their Dollars for the Gold 'dumped' on the market. The
rest of the story is already well known.
In March 1968, the international monetary system in effect since the 1944
Bretton Woods Agreement was abruptly ended and replaced by the "two-tiered"
Gold system. There would now be a free-market Gold price, higher than the
$35 "official" rate. Further, the US government would no longer redeem
Dollars for Gold because as André explains, the US Gold Reserve had been
depleted by Johnson's insane folly. There no longer was enough Gold to make
redemptions.
The so-called speculators, and their friends who 'advised' the President,
had made a fool of Johnson. The $14 billion they invested in Gold
immediately rose in value as its price climbed above $35 per ounce.
It is also known that shortly after the March 1968 meeting establishing the
two-tiered Gold price, President Johnson surprised the world by announcing
that he would not run for a second term. André believes this humiliation
over the Gold to be the real reason President Johnson decided to step down
from the pinnacle of power. Subsequent administrations unwilling or afraid
to deal with the truth, have continued the cover-up.
It's a great story, but is it true? Before dismissing it out-of-hand,
consider this. We all know now that President Johnson lied about the Gulf
of Tonkin Incident. It has been proven to be a phoney event, staged by the
US government to justify greater involvement in Vietnam. If Johnson lied
about that, who's to say he didn't lie about the US Gold Reserve?
I suppose the only answer lies with an audit. The US government says that
the GAO has inspected the Gold in the US Gold Reserve, but an inspection is
not the same as a full audit. Until a full and independent audit is
completed, we will never know whether the Gold is there or not. The few
million Dollars that it would cost for the audit seems a small price to pay
for the peace of mind knowing that the Gold is there. And if this essential
monetary resource isn't there, I would rather not think the unthinkable. |