Blog

June 1, 2008 – In the early 1980s I began researching and experimenting to find a reliable and trustworthy guide to evaluate the precious metals. I came up with a working model in mid-1980s, which I call the Fear Index. It does two things. First, it clearly illustrates gold’s relative valuation in terms of aRead more

May 26, 2008 – What a week this has been! As the oil price soared and gasoline prices at the pump touched $4 per gallon, the search for scapegoats picked up momentum. Congress led the parade of misguided crazies. The House of Representatives says sky-high oil prices are OPEC’s fault. It overwhelmingly passed a billRead more

May 26, 2008 – Probably almost everyone is familiar with the hyperinflationary episode that engulfed Germany after the First World War. That nation’s economy was crippled by monetary problems that resulted in dreadful personal hardships, even though up to that time Germany had achieved one of the highest living standards in the world. The newlyRead more

May 12, 2008 – The Bush administration spin artists were out in force on May 8th. With the burst of activity that day, one can only assume that word came down from higher up to ‘make news’. And that they did, though “spin” would be a more accurate description of their comments than “news”, givenRead more

April 28, 2008 – In the last letter I quoted Murray Rothbard to help explain how the practice of keeping only fractional reserves – where a bank’s cash reserves are less than its total liabilities – makes banks “inherently unsound”. But fractional reserve banking is only one of several intractable problems that plague banks. AnotherRead more

April 28,2008 – There have been numerous media reports about food shortages around the globe and the resulting riots caused by empty store shelves. Usually missing from these reports though is the reason for the shortages. The problem is not agricultural, but rather monetary. In other words, the problem is not too few food staples,Read more

April 7, 2008 – “Crises are endemic to financial systems.” So says The Economist in an April 3rd editorial about the present credit crisis. But are they right? Or are they just an apologist for banking interests and offer what has come to be accepted as conventional wisdom in order to deflect blame away fromRead more

March 17, 2008 – The center of focus this past week on Wall Street – and indeed, much of the financial world – was whether or not Bear Stearns will go belly-up. As questions arose about the quality of its $395 billion of assets that were carried on only $12 billion of equity, its customersRead more

Mar 14,2008 – Everybody knows that gold is an inflation hedge. That’s why most people buy it. They know from experience that the purchasing power of all national currencies is being constantly eroded by inflation. But they also know that their purchasing power is preserved by owning gold. For example, the price of crude oilRead more

March 3, 2008 – “Inflate or die.” I’m not sure when Richard Russell, the editor of Dow Theory Letters (ww2.dowtheoryletters.com), first penned those words. It might have been a couple of decades ago or even more, but regardless, those words are as true today as they have ever been. The dollar became a fiat currencyRead more