Blog

November 16, 1998 – I approach all the markets from two different perspectives. I look at the technical side of the market to see what the charts are saying. I also look at the underlying fundamentals in order to determine value as an indication of what the likely outcome may be for the market price.Read more

October 26, 1998 – Most people readily accept the notion that governments throughout the world do not want the Gold price to rise. The reason for this government stance toward Gold – animosity, some would say – is the message that it carries. The Gold price is in essence a report card that measures theRead more

October 5, 1998 – Long-Term Capital Management was supposed to have been run by some of the best minds on Wall Street. Its management boasted that two Nobel laureates and a former Federal Reserve governor were among the glitterati that adorned its high-powered Board of Directors. Its state-of-the-art ‘black-box’ computer models were supposedly developed andRead more

September 14, 1998 – The Gold price has rallied sharply over the past two weeks, and may have formed an important bottom. Though it is far too early for us Gold bulls to declare victory (in this regard, see my thoughts on the technical condition of the Gold market on Page 4), we must notRead more

August 31, 1998 – Something unusual happened this past Thursday and Friday that made me stand up and take notice. As the stock market was falling, the Dollar was getting trashed. The Dollar dropped against all the major currencies, and against the best ones, it fell hard. For example, in those two days the DollarRead more

August 17, 1998 – The Gold price and the general level of commodity prices are inexorably linked. The reasons for this relationship are hotly debated, but to me the answer is obvious – Gold is money. This debate about prices would disappear if Gold, instead of the Dollar, was used for economic calculation, namely, toRead more

July 27, 1998 – Beauty or beast? Either of these adjectives can apply when it comes to the stock market. At times the market is something wonderful to truly behold, to ponder with the greatest of admiration. At other times, the market can be your worst nightmare – like it was last week. A frighteningRead more

July 13, 1998 – By the time you receive this letter, the outcome of Japan’s election will be known. Up for grabs is the majority of seats in the Diet’s upper house. The election result is being widely viewed as a test of Prime Minister Hashimoto’s popularity, and therefore it probably will measure the durabilityRead more

June 29, 1998 – Investing requires taking action based on a calculation of probabilities, not certainties. And right now the probabilities suggest that the bottom for Gold has already been reached. By implication, we can conclude that a new bull market in Gold is beginning right now. Hard to believe? Well, yes, frankly it isRead more

June 15, 1998 – Mr. Miller was ousted, and Paul Volcker was rushed in to pick up the pieces. But the change came too late. The damage had already been done. Inflation had begun to surge. Not long after he was inaugurated as President, Jimmy Carter appointed William Miller as Chairman of the Federal Reserve.Read more